EXCLUSIVE ECB staff sees lower rate peak than market, sources say
European Central Bank staff see the need for fewer rate hikes than markets now estimate to tame inflation, according to a new internal model that could serve as a key input in future deliberations, four sources close to the discussion said.
Morning Bid: The 75bp club
Most of world’s major central banks are now going up a gear with historically sweeping interest rate rises to cool their economies and drag down inflation – and there are some signs it’s already working.
European shares drop as policymakers seek to tame hot inflation
European shares dropped on Monday, while bond yields surged as comments from central bank policymakers heightened fears of aggressive measures to stamp out inflation amid rising risks of a recession.
Morning Bid: Yuan, euro and pound head down the Hole
Global central banks are scattering again, propelling a resurgent U.S. dollar to its highest in almost two years against China’s yuan and back through parity against the euro.
ECB to join rate hike club with big move under discussion
The European Central Bank will raise interest rates for the first time in 11 years on Thursday with a bigger-than-flagged move seen as increasingly likely as policymakers fear losing control of runaway consumer price growth.
Euro holds near 2-week high, awaits ECB and Nordstream clarity
The euro held near two-week highs versus the dollar on Wednesday on expectations of a bigger ECB interest rate increase this week than earlier anticipated and a Reuters report that a key Russian gas pipeline would reopen on time after maintenance.
Recession fears creep into ECB thinking at summer conference
European Central Bank policymakers put on a brave face at their annual gathering in the hills above the Portuguese capital and forecast further economic expansion despite looming gas shortages, but in private conversations recession fears were increasingly dominant.
Morning Bid: Not quite “Together”
On top of surging inflation, rising interest rates and growing global recession risks, markets in Europe are waking up on Monday to the prospect of heightened uncertainty in France — the euro area’s second biggest economy.
Analysis: Italian banks’ government debt risks: real or just deja-vu?
A plunge in shares in Italian banks, sparked by rising government bond yields, has reawakened memories of the 2011-12 debt crisis and rekindled concerns over lenders’ vulnerability to sovereign risks.
Analysis: Market meltdown lays bare Europe’s divisions
A markets sell-off has brought back memories of the euro zone debt crisis more than a decade ago, highlighting divisions that have plagued the currency bloc’s efforts to forge a closer bond.
